Pythagoras at the Bat

Wednesday, November 28, 2012 at 1:00pm to 1:45pm

Bronfman Science Center, 106 18 Hoxsey St, Williamstown, MA 01267, USA

Pythagoras at the BatChance Rueger '13
Mathematics and Statistics Department Colloquium

Abstract: This talk applies mathematical modeling to baseball. We show how Bill James' Pythagorean Won-Loss formula follows from modeling run productions as independent Weibull random variables. We introduce the method of maximum likelihood to find the best fit parameters, and apply these techniques to scores from the 2012 baseball season.

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Mathematics & Statistics

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